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Nytimes 251103 Nytimes 251103
Nytimes 251103
Nytimes 251103
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Companies that rely on doing business with China have been grateful for the tariff reduction, even as they scramble to parse what the latest deal means to them and how long it will last. Some economists and executives argue that the outcome may slow the move by companies to find alternatives to China, potentially complicating a longer-run effort by U.S. officials to reduce America's dependence on Chinese supply chains. Many companies remain intent on diversifying where they source their products and are cautious about tying their fortunes to China over the longer term. Yet the current system of tariffs removes some of the urgency for companies to find factories outside China. It also chips away at the economic advantage that companies had expected from moving factories to Brazil, Vietnam and India. "There isn't a great incentive, if this is the final tariff structure, to reallocate out of China," said Brad Setser, an economist at the Council on Foreign Relations. He argued that the tariff differential between China and other countries was much smaller now than Mr. Trump had suggested in his 2024 campaign, when he proposed putting a 60 percent tariff on Chinese goods and a 10 to 20 percent tariff on products from the rest of the world. "Contrary to what many in the administration are saying, they haven't ended up with a tariff structure that really encourages relocation out of China," Mr. Setser said. The Trump administration disputed that idea, saying that its national security tariffs — which impose taxes on products like auto parts, pharmaceuticals and semiconductors — would disproportionately affect China. Officials also argued that the administration was focused on ending China's chokehold on other products, like rare earths. Kush Desai, a White House spokesman, said in a statement that Mr. Trump had pledged to end "America's foreign reliance by reviving domestic manufacturing and industry."
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1 Companies that rely on doing business with China have been grateful for the tariff reduction, even as they scramble to parse what the latest deal means to them and how long it will last. 2 Some economists and executives argue that the outcome may slow the move by companies to find alternatives to China, potentially complicating a longer-run effort by U.S. officials to reduce America's dependence on Chinese supply chains. 3 Many companies remain intent on diversifying where they source their products and are cautious about tying their fortunes to China over the longer term. 4 Yet the current system of tariffs removes some of the urgency for companies to find factories outside China. 5 It also chips away at the economic advantage that companies had expected from moving factories to Brazil, Vietnam and India. 6 "There isn't a great incentive, if this is the final tariff structure, to reallocate out of China," said Brad Setser, an economist at the Council on Foreign Relations. 7 He argued that the tariff differential between China and other countries was much smaller now than Mr. Trump had suggested in his 2024 campaign, when he proposed putting a 60 percent tariff on Chinese goods and a 10 to 20 percent tariff on products from the rest of the world. 8 "Contrary to what many in the administration are saying, they haven't ended up with a tariff structure that really encourages relocation out of China," Mr. Setser said. 9 The Trump administration disputed that idea, saying that its national security tariffs — which impose taxes on products like auto parts, pharmaceuticals and semiconductors — would disproportionately affect China. 10 Officials also argued that the administration was focused on ending China's chokehold on other products, like rare earths. 11 Kush Desai, a White House spokesman, said in a statement that Mr. Trump had pledged to end "America's foreign reliance by reviving domestic manufacturing and industry."